Determinants of Thai Baht Exchange Rate and Asian Currencies Exchange Rate

Forecasting Exchange Rate between Thai Baht and the US Dollar Using Time Series Analysis

Abstract—The objective of this research is to forecast the monthly exchange rate between Thai baht and the US dollar and to compare two forecasting methods. The methods are Box-Jenkins’ method and Holt’s method. Results show that the Box-Jenkins’ method is the most suitable method for the monthly Exchange Rate between Thai Baht and the US Dollar. The suitable forecasting model is ARIMA (1,1,0) ...

The Determinants of Exchange Rate System: an Empirical Analysis

Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System, exchange arrangements of countries have become flexible. Several attempts have been made to determine whether the theories of optimum currency areas adequately explain the choice of an exchange rate system. In this paper, the optimum currency area is retested. Using cross-section data, a regression analysis of the choice of an exchange rate syste...

China’s Exchange Rate Policy and Asian Trade

This paper shows empirically that China’s trade balance is sensitive to fluctuations in the real effective exchange rate of the renminbi. However, the current size of the trade surplus is such that exchange rate policy alone will probably not be able to address the imbalance. The potential reduction in the trade surplus resulting from an increase in the renminbi exchange rate is limited mainly ...

The Appropriate Exchange Rate System and the Regulation and Forecast of Exchange Rate for Iran's Economy

Policy Time-Inconsistency: A Comparison of Managed Floating Exchange Rate and Controlled Exchange Rate Regimes

Some empirical and theoretical studies have emphasized on fixed exchange rate regime in controlling time inconsistency, while others consider the role of target zone regime as an important factor. Thus there is no general consensus to decide which exchange rate regime may bring about less time-inconsistency. The main purpose of this study is to investigate policy time-inconsistency in exchange ...